NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bae0a187c3c19a5a7574a215c9ffe89df9a04b9df87f390197b3f6bf1d91443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Over | 62c | 50,428$31,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,173.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 38c | 39,885$15,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,728.41 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 20,296$8,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,072.8 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 59c | 10,958$6,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,456.5 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 60c | 6,338$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.92 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 1,999$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.45 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 1,234$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.06 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 41c | 683$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.97 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 38c | 520$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.4 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Under | 42c | 480.86$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.9 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…2fe0backed Over | 58c | 474.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 45c | 428.89$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 42c | 328$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 41c | 305$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.95 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Under | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 38c | 96.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 41c | 92.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 69.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 68.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Under | 64c | 53.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…6c6cbacked Under | 45c | 44.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 26c | 42.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 41c | 41.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Over | 58c | 32.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Under | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. Red WingsUtah won
- Utah vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.