NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aabaa05688c034a6c1f8732859c46a7a5d09862dd39de58235257b80aa7973e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 59c | 26,980$15,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,170.06 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 23,000$10,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,020 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Under | 56c | 20,324$11,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,977.57 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…22cdbacked Under | 53c | 13,900$7,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,533 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…4422backed Over | 47c | 13,200$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…6e64backed Over | 47c | 12,100$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…c0eebacked Under | 53c | 11,400$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,358 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 57c | 10,781$6,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.01 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 41c | 10,196$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180.31 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 46c | 4,589$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.39 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 3,549$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 45c | 3,147$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.6 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 53c | 2,224$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.04 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 44c | 1,742$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.48 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 55c | 1,680$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.03 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 1,557$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.05 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 40c | 1,500$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…f985backed Under | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…72b0backed Over | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 45c | 842$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.9 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under | 54c | 777$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.42 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 675$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 42c | 667$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.14 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 45c | 663.2$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.44 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 623.1$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked Under | 54c | 275.93$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 45c | 181.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…9efebacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 45c | 107.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…ba9cbacked Under | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 54c | 25.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Under | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. Red WingsUtah won
- Utah vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.