Europa Conference League · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5295986e13549e191041a418d188a7678c32166a7b708544e418cb90de92e7a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Over | 68c | 97,616$66,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,807.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 31c | 78,491$24,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,533.81 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 32c | 6,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under | 37c | 5,395$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 33c | 2,812$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.96 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 31c | 2,461$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.08 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 35c | 1,659$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.89 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Under | 37c | 1,514$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 65c | 773.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.09 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 34c | 443.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 37c | 392.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 36c | 338.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 37c | 235$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Under | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe776…c379backed Under | 37c | 149.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 124.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Over | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Under | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…532bbacked Under | 37c | 77.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb6…b350backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 36c | 66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5d…20c8backed Over | 66c | 50.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 66c | 38.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 64c | 36.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 67c | 26.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Over | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…327abacked Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Over | 64c | 22.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 63cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.