Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1494df04f358dfd7817755c69062443e9e0e39f0c556e4b7067215b98f2c8df7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Go Ahead Eaglesof Olympique Lyonnais, Go Ahead Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Olympique Lyonnais | 23c | 12,705$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.97 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Go Ahead Eagles | 77c | 11,921$9,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.45 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Go Ahead Eagles | 79c | 1,061$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.18 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 862.7$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Olympique Lyonnais | 21c | 120.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Go Ahead Eagles | 63c | 74.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Olympique Lyonnais | 36c | 66.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Go Ahead Eagles | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Go Ahead Eagles | 79c | 41.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Go Ahead Eagles | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Go Ahead Eagles | 69c | 17.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Go Ahead Eagles | 65c | 16.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Go Ahead Eagles | 79c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.