Europa Conference League · resolved market
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ebf2dbf334489430b279ae395ad381a5d3fe1e044aa178cf5039dbf63a93b59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 139.73$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 45c | 111.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 48c | 111$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Yes | 45c | 106$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 55c | 95.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 46c | 92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 47c | 56.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed No | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed No | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed No | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked No | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed No | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed No | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked No | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-2.5)Go Ahead Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.