TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f02…c594

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST4050%20 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14
76ers vs. Raptors: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$17
Pelicans vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$21.28
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+98.6%+$31.55
Mavericks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+77.3%+$24.74
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Pelicans vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$31.38
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Spread: Pacers (-9.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+61.3%+$9.19
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Will AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+249.2%+$139.57
Will PSV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$38
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+134.5%+$75.34
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+185.7%+$26
FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$20.46
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+103.6%+$29.02
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+80.8%+$12.12
All 17 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$52.64
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Köln: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
1H Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+102.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Oramond vs BIG (BO3)backed Oramond · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.65
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+284.6%+$56.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+49.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. FC Nantes: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.