Bundesliga · resolved market
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d1554258399a348deffc2ca8b6f6c9bb489ab80920456041e9dfa5822728a60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,050 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 43c | 33,294$14,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,316.58 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 57c | 5,647$3,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.99 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 5,204$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.41 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 12c | 4,583$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.5 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 3,495$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.58 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 33c | 1,474$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.72 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 56c | 1,440$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.53 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 21c | 1,423$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.15 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 55c | 1,320$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 32c | 1,190$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.4 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 45c | 929.35$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.21 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No | 44c | 811$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…be48backed No | 44c | 772.79$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcae3…1839backed Yes | 58c | 724.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 703.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.46 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 42c | 703.24$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed Yes | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 57c | 649.02$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f2f2backed Yes | 58c | 645.45$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 42c | 463.59$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 58c | 381.03$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 35c | 367.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 43c | 349$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed No | 43c | 301.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 43c | 299.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 43c | 294.11$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 77c | 274.14$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 57c | 270$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 43c | 246.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 43c | 220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 42c | 195.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 11c | 183.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…cc2cbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes | 58c | 173.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…a17cbacked Yes | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 159.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 18c | 153.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed No | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 16c | 144.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 56c | 124.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 57c | 124$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 43c | 110.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 56c | 106.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 58c | 105.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…5914backed Yes | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 55c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdd…11bebacked Yes | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 43c | 76.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 64c | 69.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 55c | 61.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 57c | 57.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…bc16backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 43c | 48.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 45c | 48.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 58c | 43.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 45c | 42.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yes | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…625dbacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de1…2d12backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 58c | 34.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 57c | 34.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…ac39backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9d…a2eabacked Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…cc15backed No | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…43b6backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…1b92backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.