TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0613…4d1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+150%+$75
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$50
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+150%+$150
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will AEK win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+79%+$79.02
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Pisa SC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Pisa SC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will SSC Napoli vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+73.2%+$73.18
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+150%+$75
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100.44
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+124.5%+$249.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+233.3%+$116.67
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+164%+$162.32
Will Sydney FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+57.8%+$28.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$101.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.