TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed Yes57c7,905$4,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.063036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No44c6,272$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.6819239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes65c5,342$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.366,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes58c4,200$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.061,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No12c3,100$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37316737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No42c2,979$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.531,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed No41c2,600$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0662751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8204953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61518259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No4c1,252$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.811,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes57c1,183$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.921,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No43c1,116$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.881,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes59c858.04$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.392,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.678145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes66c809.33$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.681,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes76c795.67$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.254,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No44c766.53$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.947147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes55c700.99$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.951,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes56c644$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3614456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Yes80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes59c472$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes70c452.15$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6522458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No44c383.29$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.629949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1239254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1615257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No43c249.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4918646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No30c223$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8320239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed No31c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked No44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8844036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No30c176$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.543241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6038…2130backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No35c159.73$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7429343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637653.9%41 W · 35 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No45c150$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7513844.9%62 W · 76 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No28c135.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.922,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No10c130.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1557744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes56c120.83$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1758445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe709…bcc6backed Yes57c110.53$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.531421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5675…f99cbacked Yes59c106.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.785743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No39c106.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.671,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No11c104.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4429041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes57c87.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.115444.4%24 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2117635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212025%5 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6886…7db9backed Yes58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.233124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No43c55.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0416863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259045.6%41 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7221043.8%92 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8855654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked No42c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111955.5%66 W · 53 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8613951.1%71 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc840…0650backed No41c43.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.022250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0613…4d1cbacked Yes58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Yes58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.111060.9%67 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes56c43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9245751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked No43c41.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe5…fd84backed No43c36.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes57c35.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.126749.3%33 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc133…81ebbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.093040%12 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc101…98edbacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4822356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd52…07aabacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98845.5%40 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7594…6c37backed No43c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.799541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Yes58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.64953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aba…fde3backed Yes78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes73c27.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4489152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb456…7c26backed Yes57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf38b…8ab5backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed No41c24.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.019443.6%41 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37cf…cc5ebacked Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d3…53c1backed Yes58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb0ab…6b01backed Yes57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x592f…61a7backed Yes78c16.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a43…8c0bbacked Yes78c15.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.41977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a4…e909backed Yes80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.