TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc101…98ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
211
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT5358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48.1%+$422
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$64
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$69
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$72
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.2%+$248.76
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$225
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$376.62
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$453.75
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,625
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.6
LoL: The Otter Side vs Cães de Água - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cães de Água · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+327.4%+$38.3
LoL: Joblife vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.5
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$14.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winnerbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+52.3%+$16.42
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST4148.8%20 W · 21 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Spread: Pacers (-1.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+147%+$27.38
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.2
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.6
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Suns vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$18
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 252.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24.19
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+71.8%+$209
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,139.58
Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+128.6%+$22.5
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$42.4
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
Swansea City AFC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$157.8
Swansea City AFC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$17.55
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.31
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27.8%+$50.01
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+25.3%+$13.4
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 23 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$209.88
Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
CA Boca Juniors vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$22
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$13.5
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
EC Bahia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
SC Internacional vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.2%+$5.95
CA Mineiro vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24
CF Cruz Azul vs. Atlas FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.4
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Valencia CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.2%+$7.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rio Open: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
ASB Classic: Luciano Darderi vs Marcos Gironbacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
ASB Classic: Hamad Medjedovic vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
ASB Classic: Mariano Navone vs Alex Michelsenbacked Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Adelaide International, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Shuai Zhangbacked Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+169%+$185.88
ASB Classic, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
ASB Classic: Katie Boulter vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 8 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+63.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31%+$7.09
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+233.3%+$436.73
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+34.9%+$28.6
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$328
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+57.8%+$659
Utah vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$141
Racing Club de Lens vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.22
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.7%+$11.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+47.8%+$20.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$368
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.