South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4399da74c855a919e5c6113e156cb79b9a65a618224e91e271be2c259029e88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 38c | 8,897$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 5,979$4,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 65c | 4,283$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.91 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…8c01backed Over | 17c | 4,170$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 61c | 3,926$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.31 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,854$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 63c | 1,209$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.48 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 18c | 1,186$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.55 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 18c | 549.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 449.39$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.65 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 443$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Over | 15c | 328.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Under | 48c | 300.54$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 261.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 61c | 233$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Over | 64c | 171.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 17c | 117.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…861bbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 68c | 73.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 45c | 58.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 50.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Over | 22c | 50.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…c024backed Under | 36c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…3c7abacked Over | 30c | 35.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Over | 38c | 32.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 77c | 21.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…72acbacked Over | 66c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 54c | 20.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x817e…7c6cbacked Under | 72c | 17.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Under | 74c | 17.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. Racing Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.