Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56b8a9961e0cb7a34d5f3478a2df7f451f15a3d4af3e2dfc6416ff1ffe03264f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 31c | 47,323$14,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,729.63 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Over | 34c | 14,482$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,508.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +191.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 6,032$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.17 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 31c | 4,890$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.1 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 38c | 4,550$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…9c9abacked Over | 59c | 3,900$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Over | 32c | 2,771$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 829.71$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.94 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 58c | 707.17$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.2 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 64c | 675.2$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.06 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 54c | 539.95$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.38 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 67c | 522$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.74 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7def…bbb5backed Under | 69c | 437.47$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 47c | 426.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 381.33$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 350$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 61c | 344.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 69c | 305.56$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.84 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 304.07$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.62 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 46c | 258.7$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 29c | 235$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.85 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 53c | 228.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Under | 6c | 212.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 41c | 202.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 63c | 200.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 57c | 176.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.27 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 161.65$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 68c | 159.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 68c | 155.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 58c | 154.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 46c | 145.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 40c | 138.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 67c | 135$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 38c | 132.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 67c | 115$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 29c | 112.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 68c | 108$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Over | 26c | 105$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 12cpaid | +582.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 67c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Over | 46c | 86.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 68c | 85.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 80.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 49c | 79.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…1c3ebacked Under | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 42c | 64.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 63.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 42c | 61.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 67c | 59.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 36c | 57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…5dcebacked Over | 51c | 55.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 29c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 41c | 44.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 45c | 40.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 67c | 37.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 47c | 35.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 68c | 34.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 37c | 33.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…fc78backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Over | 36c | 30.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Under | 53c | 30.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9be…7517backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…d7e9backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.