Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe4d7a630ff7428f3d11c2b95421549b04fb1ff190e3dc75bcfd1fc7e66f78d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 59c | 2,403$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.44 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 1,840$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.84 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 1,116$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.51 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 48c | 448.08$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed No | 52c | 448.08$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…2de8backed Yes | 58c | 292.82$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 59c | 288.35$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…9278backed Yes | 58c | 199.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 73c | 155.45$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 41c | 152.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…796ebacked No | 42c | 150.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…cc01backed No | 42c | 142.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 32c | 99.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981f…8993backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 57c | 64.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a6…0b06backed No | 42c | 51.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed No | 42c | 50.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed No | 42c | 49.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed No | 42c | 48.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…1c3ebacked No | 43c | 34.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 58c | 34.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…b99abacked Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 56c | 26.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 59c | 25.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.