TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Melbourne City FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,680 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed Under47c18,377$8,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,637.31844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over53c17,000$9,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,989.992850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under49c14,366$6,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,997.762040%8 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c13,242$7,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,662.7898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Under48c9,299$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,43010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under51c8,258$4,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,211.44966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over54c3,888$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.372740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c3,788$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.2747850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Over54c2,602$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.051346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over53c2,100$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9871850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under59c1,582$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9301040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Under48c1,320$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.680%0 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c1,070$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.0933444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under51c714.01$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.854238.1%16 W · 26 L-7.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c638.41$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.414753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over74c595.83$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7314060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over64c518.43$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.433658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over54c461.28$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.286650%33 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1886453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c379.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.85558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under33c353.22$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.830954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over70c302.07$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.076958%40 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under48c300$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9140…17e0backed Over52c287.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…a91ebacked Under48c266.42$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee0…bf55backed Under46c264.64$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over77c250$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.52378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over53c246.64$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.921827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under34c238.68$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.516434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under48c224$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.43253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Under49c204.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under24c195.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4219849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c182.68$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9314755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under48c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d59…811bbacked Under16c175.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.681040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+50.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over53c173.3$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.452334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under43c150.54$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.223551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c2a…e715backed Under48c150.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under33c143.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0913540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb672…456fbacked Over54c139.85$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.33850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Over52c139.22$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.222832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc87d…6f31backed Under48c137.77$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c135$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.156460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c134.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.175156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over46c131.03$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.414946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over41c128$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under48c120$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over48c115.87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0434937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over43c114.84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.866253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2110357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Under27c109.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under48c103.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over59c94.07$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.753450%17 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.14355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x677f…1c6ebacked Under19c81.91$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+48.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under20c69.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.17450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+154.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc2…757cbacked Over80c69.12$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.08560%3 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick77cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d4c…41c4backed Over54c67.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.255100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f03…ed48backed Over54c66.55$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd760…8e82backed Over54c66.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c64.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0643748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b0…687ebacked Over54c64.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under62c62.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.032142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44050%20 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43852.6%20 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.43751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under48c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.53357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over63c55.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over75c55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3864…a1b8backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under49c52.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5930536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over40c52.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.343253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under25c50.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4813149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under48c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.753661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under33c44.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.672748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.994146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over40c41.85$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258361.4%51 W · 32 L+10.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.62860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over40c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under47c39.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over67c39.9$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.172972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over52c38.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.724843.8%21 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.