TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9140…17e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.14
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.95
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.96
Bucks vs. Heat: 1H Moneylinebacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$92.56
Bulls vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.39
Rockets vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$95.22
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.25
Pelicans vs. Suns: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$46.41
Trey Murphy III: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.15
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$11.34
Kings vs. Mavericks: 1H Moneylinebacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.48
Hornets vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 113.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$27.64
76ers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$88.71
Spurs vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 116.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.27
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.61
Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$48.74
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$29.09
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$228.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oxford United FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$83.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Albacete Balompié vs. UD Almería: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$31.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Kholood Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$52.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.