Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ee5b6ec1090e2a46215392160987bb82619e416fe98f972ffc92d195ed13467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 1,184$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.83 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…0e4dbacked Over | 32c | 1,100$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.03 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 47cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 789.65$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.41 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…8753backed Over | 56c | 545.11$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 29c | 476.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 26c | 441.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.59 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 336.2$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.03 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Over | 29c | 281.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Over | 30c | 268.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 179.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 166.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Over | 26c | 157$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 45c | 149.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 51c | 122.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 26c | 119.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…c55fbacked Over | 47c | 102.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 44c | 99.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…e998backed Under | 70c | 69.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…e715backed Under | 70c | 67.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed Under | 70c | 66.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Under | 70c | 64.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 35c | 59.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 77c | 58.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 29c | 56.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 45c | 53.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 25.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Over | 60c | 19.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed Under | 71c | 19.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 74c | 14.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.