Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa03c453229fd8893843ec695191b96bb0c2717a6e99e248a462c4a7e48eac8bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 5,737$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.37 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…6439backed Over | 67c | 3,891$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 2,463$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.3 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 76c | 1,503$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.72 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 61c | 818.79$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.94 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Over | 74c | 808.11$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 41c | 690.34$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.74 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…ce6abacked Over | 71c | 660$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 61c | 629.06$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 74c | 543.02$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 75c | 376.27$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 335.59$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 251.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 75c | 222$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 28c | 214.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 75c | 204.09$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 21c | 196$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 77c | 193.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Over | 64c | 188.57$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 186.45$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 7c | 162$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 20c | 157.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 75c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 76c | 148.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 25c | 132.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Over | 79c | 107.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…40fabacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 95.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 75c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Over | 58c | 86.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f2…fe1bbacked Over | 73c | 84.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 83.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 58.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 24c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 63c | 39.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 72c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 77c | 23.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.