Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0287acd50f4f6a20b52d1aa58cecb6460b262c2b7d48f9557696b5172e2ccdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 53c | 252,924$133,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,102.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 191,591$90,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,543.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 20,799$9,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,804.81 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 35c | 7,000$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,579.92 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 49c | 6,746$3,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 6,600$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,355.77 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…6f89backed Over | 36c | 5,791$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Over | 52c | 3,842$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 47c | 3,178$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.65 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 2,892$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.19 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 2,720$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.56 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 2,560$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.02 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 51c | 1,959$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 1,922$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.59 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 1,845$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.52 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…ce6abacked Over | 65c | 1,000$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 62c | 846.48$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 47c | 599.97$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 571.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…85debacked Over | 49c | 467.52$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 377.68$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.46 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae3…8753backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…39fabacked Under | 51c | 284.14$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 62c | 251.71$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 59c | 242.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 45c | 227.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 49c | 226.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 224.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6a…8ec7backed Under | 59c | 202.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 48c | 191$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 190$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 53c | 183.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 27c | 150.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 48c | 136.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 50c | 99.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…b668backed Over | 49c | 94.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…3d7cbacked Under | 53c | 93.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 52c | 90.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 39c | 87.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 85.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 77c | 85.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 80.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 54c | 74.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Over | 49c | 68.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120a…ed97backed Under | 53c | 65.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 40c | 49.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…0e4dbacked Over | 43c | 48.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 47cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 49c | 45.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Over | 49c | 37.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Over | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…fed6backed Under | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 54c | 30.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 51c | 28.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Over | 51c | 22.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 51c | 20.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed Over | 51c | 20.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Melbourne City FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.