TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x41d7…7c97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Stocks, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT4763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.57
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.46
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.55
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+67.5%+$32.87
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25.2%+$5.06
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.18
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+103.8%+$10.48
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47%+$23.56
Kings vs. Mavericks: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.29
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+66.5%+$21.06
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.27
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.7%+$46.47
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.7%+$3.26
Rockets vs. Magic: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Spread: Hornets (-12.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100.9%+$23.14
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$11.44
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.67
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.29
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.66
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+43.7%+$28.23
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.27
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$118.18
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26%+$17.84
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+37.8%+$4.42
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+103.9%+$37.01
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $395 on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.35
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 11 above $410?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $440 on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+282.2%+$80.48
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 4 above $5.00?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.53
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 4 above $375?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$6.35
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 27 above $375?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.43
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 27 above $390?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of April 20 above $143?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$15.4
Will Opendoor reach $6 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.42
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 13 above $660?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$18.03
Will Meta (META) close above $650 on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$111.61
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $325 on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.81
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.97
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $295?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$20.65
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$3.63
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$8.8
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$9.74
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$8.34
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.41
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+34%+$3.85
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+142.5%+$19.92
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$9.68
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $580?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$5.44
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club León FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.46
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+43.4%+$12.85
Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.61
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$134.15
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+36.9%+$7.75
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.01
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.6%+$4.98
Will CS Cristal win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.45
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$42.42
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.9%+$2.94
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+39.8%+$5.56
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.19
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+90.1%+$9.82
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+97%+$44.33
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+94.7%+$44.47
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.98
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+32.6%+$49.1
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.43
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.65
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+34.6%+$50.9
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+29.1%+$683.12
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$51.94
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.5%+$101.07
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+32.2%+$106.31
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25.4%+$34.85
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+45.3%+$9.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.72
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.83
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$19.73
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+34.5%+$3.71
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.88
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$11.55
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.55
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.46
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-78.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.1%+$11.79
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.24
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+41%+$20.69
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATX Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Peyton Stearnsbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.8%+$9.96
Merida Open Akron, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Heather Watsonbacked Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+30.7%+$13.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$110.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+103.5%+$34.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Florida Gators (-6.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.