Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ea4c439fbfa767b97d68ca341f3e7d4b8d6e5d633d204c30066de38f87c529a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Florida Gators, Texas Longhorns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Florida Gators | 54c | 4,578$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.27 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…2a04backed Texas Longhorns | 47c | 2,617$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 2,141$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.03 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Gators | 53c | 1,574$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.73 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Texas Longhorns | 48c | 1,231$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.92 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Texas Longhorns | 48c | 833.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.3 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gators | 48c | 699.1$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Florida Gators | 51c | 654.13$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.49 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Longhorns | 51c | 504$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.04 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Florida Gators | 49c | 485.51$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.61 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Florida Gators | 49c | 428.11$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.95 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Florida Gators | 62c | 260.25$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Texas Longhorns | 49c | 245$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Texas Longhorns | 43c | 229.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Texas Longhorns | 52c | 209.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Texas Longhorns | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Texas Longhorns | 61c | 184.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Florida Gators | 39c | 154.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Gators | 50c | 154.36$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Texas Longhorns | 51c | 139.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 119.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Texas Longhorns | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b15…f827backed Texas Longhorns | 58c | 85.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Texas Longhorns | 49c | 83.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Texas Longhorns | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Texas Longhorns | 50c | 76.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Florida Gators | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Florida Gators | 53c | 65.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Florida Gators | 53c | 56.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Florida Gators | 53c | 55.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Florida Gators | 53c | 50.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Florida Gators | 49c | 42.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Florida Gators | 43c | 40.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Florida Gators | 53c | 39.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Texas Longhorns | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Florida Gators | 44c | 31.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Florida Gators | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Florida Gators | 53c | 26.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Florida Gators | 53c | 23.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Florida Gators | 57c | 20.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Texas Longhorns | 61c | 19.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-6.5)this page
- Florida Gators vs. Texas LonghornsFlorida Gators won
- Florida Gators vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 157.5Under won
- Florida Gators vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 159.5Under won
- Florida Gators vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 160.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-5.5)Florida Gators won
- Spread: Florida Gators (-7.5)Florida Gators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.