Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6c5124f92e5c7c07438d2a4e9e5e614291f0db7bf4c2e545d4d29af2a991b18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 53c | 99,432$53,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,100.72 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 28,069$13,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,273.39 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 45c | 20,767$9,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,343.97 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 46c | 16,269$7,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,785.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Under | 47c | 15,904$7,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,429.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 50c | 10,089$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 55c | 9,138$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 8,100$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,293 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…a14cbacked Under | 47c | 6,751$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…a91ebacked Under | 47c | 6,751$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,578.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 5,281$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.5 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Under | 45c | 5,088$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…d09dbacked Under | 46c | 4,499$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 4,171$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.63 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 46c | 3,989$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 3,002$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.66 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 45c | 2,897$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…ea51backed Under | 47c | 2,700$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 2,330$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.6 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.98 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 50c | 1,952$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 55c | 1,900$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.09 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 55c | 1,899$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.22 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 56c | 1,787$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 48c | 1,466$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.32 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 1,100$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.93 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 52c | 999.96$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 55c | 918$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 48c | 851.98$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.18 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 37c | 837.87$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.02 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Over | 52c | 705.28$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.74 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 641.51$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 66c | 629.37$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.83 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…78d1backed Over | 57c | 620.21$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 48c | 500$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 45c | 499.95$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.97 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 45c | 492.86$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.26 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa03…c9ffbacked Under | 46c | 488.57$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 49c | 454.7$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 450.94$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 55c | 404.89$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.69 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…0beebacked Over | 53c | 376.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 60c | 360.9$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 344.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af8…9a99backed Under | 46c | 319.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 53c | 314.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 51c | 280.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 55c | 280.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 46c | 270$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 46c | 253.54$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.91 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…0322backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 238.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 46c | 230$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 46c | 225$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 53c | 200.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 54c | 200.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 57c | 200.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 198.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 193.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Under | 36c | 192.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…002bbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 42c | 179.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 46c | 170.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 51c | 141.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 120 | 69.2%83 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.