South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bd52e1c72a0d46a57a4448513a6e513d5d37c243e3813618fe165364d76c36c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 3,145$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.64 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 1,693$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.22 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 21c | 903.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 79c | 605.43$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 11c | 599.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 7c | 564.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 387.31$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.06 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed No | 36c | 193$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 37c | 177$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 36c | 165$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 142$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.72 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 38c | 129.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 102.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 29c | 84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 76c | 66.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 64.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 33c | 59.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 74c | 48.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 69c | 48.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 55c | 32.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4780…0c3fbacked Yes | 34c | 32.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 74c | 21.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Yes | 66c | 19.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Yes | 72c | 17.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed Yes | 71c | 15.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-25?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-02-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.