TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes54c6,600$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5647552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No46c6,548$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,535.971770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c2,717$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.041,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c2,611$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.688,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c1,800$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.955,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked No46c1,337$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.794845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes25c1,221$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.3384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+45.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x806b…5cd8backed Yes55c907.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes42c871.79$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.7712331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes8c735.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.341526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No52c666.22$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.796055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes37c525.07$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5918828.7%54 W · 134 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes21c505$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.259428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes53c470.41$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2492045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No44c449.23$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.575950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2547…8a63backed Yes40c415.58$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+51.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e74…93bcbacked Yes50c401.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c392.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.311,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes41c386$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1817542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes45c333.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509638.5%37 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14739853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No51c298.22$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.136546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No66c296.52$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9429747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes49c289.76$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9821839.4%86 W · 132 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No48c228.32$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.843,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No62c225.11$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.591,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes51c213$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.377862.8%49 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes32c201$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0217436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes34c200$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6711334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No46c190$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.630754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Yes32c180$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.971241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c175.56$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.761,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes7c168.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82156.7%1 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes53c150$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.528443%122 W · 162 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes50c148.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.442245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No47c131.48$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7055155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Yes49c130.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.77825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No44c125$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7033745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c124.88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.521,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed No47c121.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.283378.8%26 W · 7 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes49c120.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.113,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c112.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.751,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed No47c106.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.961376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+45.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f4d…f778backed Yes50c101$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4710442.3%44 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes53c99.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.11540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes40c97.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce30…5564backed Yes47c86.91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No50c83.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.927143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22ea…0d10backed Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No53c82.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.111,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dca…ce96backed Yes37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-67.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9306…cf80backed Yes36c78.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes27c77.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011819.5%23 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No49c71.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.552,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes42c71.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016041.3%66 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked No76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No74c64.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.668452.4%44 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2062…6be2backed Yes49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No49c60.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.026357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes52c59.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes45c55.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.032634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…964ebacked Yes46c55.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes32c50.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1171619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb456…1774backed Yes44c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.85846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No53c44.17$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7649449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810550.5%53 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdea…c050backed Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206346%29 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked No66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7415651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4780…0c3fbacked Yes53c35.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8af7…f5a8backed Yes45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x713f…158dbacked Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed No73c30.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.176448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.237355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df0…b669backed Yes52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8815459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.111,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked No77c20.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.648655.8%48 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2588…e9a6backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fca…5f02backed No75c19.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.912532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No60c18.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4123542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.