TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1dca…ce96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+525%+$249.27
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.28
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+179.5%+$267.73
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.92
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.22
Chelsea FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.78
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.48
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.51
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.51
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.45
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$113.85
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Swansea City AFC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$38.16
Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$59.84
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$59.85
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hull City AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 24 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$183.69
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.89
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100.9%+$10.09
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$213.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+179.9%+$196.05
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$421.52
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.83
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.46
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50.77
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+222.6%+$111.29
All 19 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+80.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-62.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-67.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+110.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jie Cui vs. Mikhail Kukushkin: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+151%+$72.77
Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs. Adam Walton: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$27.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+263.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Odense BK (-1.5)backed Odense BK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Silkeborg IF (-1.5)backed Silkeborg IF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+627.5%+$313.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+34%+$100.44
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)backed Central Coast Mariners FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.51
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.