TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Paris Saint-Germain FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Chelsea FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,271 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC8c1,646$125 inWon+$1,520.8213245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Paris Saint-Germain FC7c1,596$111 inWon+$1,485.355322.6%12 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Paris Saint-Germain FC7c357.14$25 inWon+$332.1420639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Chelsea FC54c352.69$189 inLost-$188.8723637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1c…197dbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC7c347.86$24 inWon+$323.51425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+257.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dca…ce96backed Paris Saint-Germain FC35c328.09$115 inWon+$213.261963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chelsea FC61c306.36$186 inLost-$185.771,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC5c282.65$15 inWon+$268.0542438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Paris Saint-Germain FC25c214.23$54 inWon+$160.671921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Paris Saint-Germain FC8c185$15 inWon+$169.9229350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Chelsea FC68c183.98$125 inLost-$125.12035%7 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC27c140.84$37 inWon+$103.4422356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Paris Saint-Germain FC74c109.95$82 inWon+$28.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC32c93.75$30 inWon+$63.757639.5%30 W · 46 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Chelsea FC22c82.67$18 inLost-$17.9721217%36 W · 176 L-37.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-69.3%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Chelsea FC30c70$21 inLost-$2119856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Paris Saint-Germain FC33c60.28$20 inWon+$40.5614220.4%29 W · 113 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Chelsea FC54c60$32 inLost-$32.49953.5%53 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b0…7f68backed Chelsea FC28c56.23$16 inLost-$161315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Paris Saint-Germain FC33c47.05$16 inWon+$31.3915038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf29d…2d25backed Paris Saint-Germain FC26c42.06$11 inWon+$31.067100%7 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+135.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x28a5…7e15backed Paris Saint-Germain FC76c40$30 inWon+$9.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.