TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,899 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ee6…4594backed Under1c20,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c17,326$4,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,328.52,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over70c7,085$4,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.9113245.5%60 W · 72 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under32c6,542$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.094247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over68c6,072$4,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.043256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under30c5,446$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.6126047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c4,258$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.5460041.8%251 W · 349 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over68c3,360$2,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9609757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9910742.1%45 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe49e…dc8bbacked Under33c2,996$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.721225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over67c2,206$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.127247.1%128 W · 144 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Under2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8907…a996backed Over68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.592161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.288556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over69c1,422$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.9829350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under17c1,249$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.55322.6%12 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Under3c1,128$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5570%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdc…47a4backed Over68c1,048$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.482259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3203174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over67c915$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.955248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5849…dcf1backed Under33c906.85$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2650%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under31c905.87$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.823043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under33c858.09$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.9815038.7%58 W · 92 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over76c835.07$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.371,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68af…93d2backed Over68c804.46$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.431050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over76c723.12$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1222054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over79c692.26$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1913261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over70c670$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Under33c642.42$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over68c586.16$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.571060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16012242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Over68c500$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.722462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0761148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over67c499.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16529138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under32c499.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.996243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bee…590cbacked Over69c496.8$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under31c472.54$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0652646.8%246 W · 280 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over68c441.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.477068.6%48 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6513349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed Over68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.65955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over68c330.88$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.883948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under31c324.79$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4340450.7%205 W · 199 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over68c310.29$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.291861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2dc…3f6abacked Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995855.2%32 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Under32c299.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.991637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under9c271.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8940143.4%174 W · 227 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under32c268.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8367649.4%334 W · 342 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over68c220$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.45166.7%34 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under34c205.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7912935.7%46 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6425859.7%154 W · 104 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ec…ae94backed Over68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under30c199.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.997639.5%30 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked Under32c186.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.831947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30de…1f9dbacked Over70c185.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.751361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over68c183.82$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.822878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under21c180.85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4743537.9%165 W · 270 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over68c176.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4710256.9%58 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over67c176.34$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1923637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under32c170.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.677740.3%31 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over73c165.24$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.245870.7%41 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0615847.5%75 W · 83 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca28…eb3cbacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a08…d02abacked Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c5e…7677backed Under33c137$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.657767.5%52 W · 25 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over70c114.51$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5117560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under31c109.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0929746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under20c107.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1420643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under32c106.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.053231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5668…f3fdbacked Under31c104$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over69c101.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.452450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3211947.9%57 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3120667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3211360.2%68 W · 45 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Over69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323961.5%24 W · 15 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under32c99.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd702…9694backed Under36c99.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8cc…2e39backed Over77c99.86$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bce…a18cbacked Over68c90.68$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.021070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaff…1822backed Over68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.241553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over76c79.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3310465.4%68 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over68c74.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Under34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd002…2ee8backed Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.537950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed Over68c73.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.461181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over64c72.75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.193748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.435058%29 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over77c71.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.438360.2%50 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ad…1ab8backed Over67c71.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.71770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77a5…f731backed Over66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.