TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdaff…1822

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$15.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+86.1%+$17.22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$36.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+232%+$34.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$14.79
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.97
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$21.98
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.24
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$26.18
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.94
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+58.4%+$12.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+517.3%+$103.46
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$67.66
Spain to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.18
Jordan vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Colombia vs. Portugal: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.95
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$71
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick69cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Cagliari Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.58
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.68
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.14
Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.73
Udinese Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Juventus FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$17.28
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.18
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.22
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$35.78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.2%+$12.69
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.47
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$9.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+31.6%+$14.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.