Fifa International · resolved market
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc12142de2d36b5bb2970e922c1cfd57089a671480a94afb1d4565060090da593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $807,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $802,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $807,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 487 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 76c | 139,999$105,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,049.84 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 76c | 92,255$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,254.76 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 24c | 75,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.98 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 24c | 62,093$14,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,902.25 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 13c | 46,981$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,220.05 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 15c | 45,564$6,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,777.97 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked No | 26c | 38,743$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 24c | 34,684$8,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,428.96 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 25c | 30,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 75c | 26,188$19,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,629.74 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 24c | 22,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.99 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 74c | 20,740$15,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,392.37 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 76c | 20,701$15,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.24 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 3c | 15,818$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.48 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 24c | 15,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 22c | 14,123$3,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,130.88 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 76c | 13,457$10,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.68 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 25c | 12,787$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 75c | 12,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 0c | 10,800$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 76c | 10,789$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.47 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 24c | 9,523$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.58 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 24c | 9,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 75c | 7,100$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.25 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 24c | 6,534$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.16 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 14c | 6,395$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.34 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 22c | 5,791$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.73 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed No | 24c | 5,695$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.68 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 26c | 5,547$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.32 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 76c | 5,108$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.97 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa432…8d9abacked No | 27c | 4,905$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 78c | 4,761$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.01 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 76c | 4,737$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.84 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 75c | 4,700$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 21c | 4,451$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.5 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 24c | 4,300$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.99 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 25c | 3,500$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.65 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 25c | 3,187$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.08 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 75c | 2,756$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.75 | 178 | 51.1%91 W · 87 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 24c | 2,575$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 27c | 2,531$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.46 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 26c | 2,376$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.76 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 4c | 2,295$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed No | 25c | 1,854$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 75c | 1,829$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.27 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 80c | 1,576$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.26 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6b01backed Yes | 74c | 1,556$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 1,555$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 21c | 1,510$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.9 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3904backed Yes | 75c | 1,427$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.68 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 20c | 1,420$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 74c | 1,358$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.04 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…cfbebacked Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 75c | 1,331$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.87 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…9fb8backed Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.07 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No | 25c | 1,278$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 16c | 1,229$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.64 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 26c | 1,221$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed No | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 24c | 1,187$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.55 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed No | 25c | 1,184$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 24c | 1,167$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.08 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 1c | 1,113$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No | 21c | 1,081$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 26c | 1,080$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.74 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Yes | 76c | 1,053$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.83 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes | 76c | 1,043$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +284.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,042$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.69 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 26c | 1,016$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.13 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0d…cce6backed Yes | 76c | 1,013$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 5c | 1,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 21c | 994.4$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Yes | 77c | 989.61$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.61 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 76c | 986.84$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 26c | 984.47$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.96 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 79c | 944.4$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Yes | 78c | 928.11$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e328backed Yes | 76c | 921.05$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 25c | 886.07$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.9 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Yes | 76c | 875.82$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4375…d86ebacked Yes | 78c | 811.92$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Yes | 75c | 808.91$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes | 76c | 804.3$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 74c | 800$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b4…1330backed No | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…3e23backed Yes | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 26c | 799.55$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 74c | 772.17$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?this page
- Will Mozambique win on 2026-01-05?No won
- Will Nigeria vs. Mozambique end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.