TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f0d…cce6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$312.82
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$125.52
Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.78
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$132.28
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25%+$155.55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$360.59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+185.7%+$368.07
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$140.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Qatar Total Open: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,117.08
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+132.6%+$397.67
Ostrava Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Emiliana Arangobacked Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Transylvania Open, Qualification: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Raluca Serbanbacked Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+69%+$206.89
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Juncheng Shangbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Brisbane International: Liudmila Samsonova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+170.3%+$340.54
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+124.9%+$1,055.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,028.93
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,753Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,752.66
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+253.4%+$253.44
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.14
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$400
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+185.7%+$381.47
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$571.4
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$55.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+43.7%+$174.72
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.