Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open, Qualification: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Raluca Serban
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12581b7d283836dfbcd963b0f0ff76cd5793b70110af04b67e84076343aa227e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gormazof Gormaz, Serban
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Serban | 35c | 1,205$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.11 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Gormaz | 73c | 793.68$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Gormaz | 62c | 757.79$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.01 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Serban | 30c | 631.37$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Gormaz | 70c | 554.68$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0d…cce6backed Gormaz | 59c | 506.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gormaz | 74c | 424.27$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Serban | 31c | 398.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Serban | 37c | 367.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Serban | 41c | 364.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…a06dbacked Serban | 8c | 260.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Gormaz | 68c | 211$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Serban | 34c | 174.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Serban | 57c | 143$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Serban | 23c | 104.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Gormaz | 71c | 87.95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x535e…762cbacked Serban | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Gormaz | 64c | 64.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Serban | 26c | 49.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Serban | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Gormaz | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ae…1464backed Gormaz | 62c | 28.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.