Serie A · resolved market
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x698e1139cbc7e7f3b1f1b02327e8408ff19ee338002351fa848f48942cff1675
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 5,065$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.06 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 48c | 2,235$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.29 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Under | 19c | 1,977$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,612$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.42 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Over | 77c | 1,494$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 77c | 1,478$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 55c | 1,436$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.76 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 55c | 1,184$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.8 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 53c | 521.59$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 478.8$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.69 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 376.62$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 66c | 374.25$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.12 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +16.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0d…cce6backed Over | 64c | 312.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 280.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 225.11$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 74c | 164.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…d086backed Over | 57c | 153.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 147.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…1cc0backed Over | 34c | 117.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 54c | 114.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 105.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a19…d9cebacked Over | 51c | 78.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Under | 55c | 71.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed Under | 44c | 41.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Under | 74c | 38.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 56c | 35.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 73c | 27.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 78c | 24.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.