TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd66…48e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10148.5%49 W · 52 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+792.9%+$177.6
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$8.85
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+830.2%+$267.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$90.84
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
France vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
France vs. England: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.8
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.75
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.13
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.9
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+616.4%+$499.04
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.69
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$10.3
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-2.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$75.19
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.34
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.59
Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$45.9
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+672.5%+$168.17
Burnley FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
West Ham United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44.94
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+163.2%+$62
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+25%+$6
US Cremonese vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$55
SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$198.79
Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$35
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+128.2%+$23.5
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$44.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.95
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$22.2
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+106.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+38.9%+$39.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$104
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.