Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2c64f1f41dd96a65c8a6f23bd9bb839d4a5a366a31602e876caba0809664d10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 15,973$7,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,764.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 9,822$5,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.52 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 6,193$2,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.56 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 44c | 4,489$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.42 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 47c | 4,441$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.69 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 55c | 2,442$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.55 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Yes | 55c | 2,097$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Yes | 54c | 2,030$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 46c | 1,968$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.28 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 1,936$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.85 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 53c | 1,926$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.22 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 65c | 1,909$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.78 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Yes | 56c | 1,574$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 44c | 1,384$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.18 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 53c | 1,243$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.85 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 46c | 1,177$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.53 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 55c | 940.98$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.03 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 56c | 839.05$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.18 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 57c | 786.4$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.79 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…7afbbacked Yes | 52c | 762.09$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed No | 46c | 749$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.24 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Yes | 54c | 741.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 62c | 722.27$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.23 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 547.62$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.01 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 54c | 546.3$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.3 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 496.77$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.33 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes | 52c | 467.9$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.59 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 64c | 447$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Yes | 56c | 416.82$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 47c | 406.26$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.94 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…0c4abacked Yes | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 72c | 375.56$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes | 35c | 375$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 45c | 321.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 54c | 305.92$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.63 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 45c | 303.96$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.96 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed No | 34c | 291.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Yes | 53c | 290$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked Yes | 35c | 290$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Yes | 54c | 274.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 54c | 242.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…ed91backed Yes | 54c | 233.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 51c | 219.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…a5e4backed Yes | 71c | 198.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…de4dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 49c | 186.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…a780backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…18b0backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…4155backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd7…98bfbacked Yes | 56c | 181.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd80d…510ebacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 57c | 176.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…1a23backed Yes | 57c | 176.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d4…f320backed Yes | 56c | 170.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 53c | 168.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.41 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 57c | 141.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…e22bbacked Yes | 39c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…529dbacked No | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.5wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f16…2d56backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…9467backed Yes | 60c | 122.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 54c | 122.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 55c | 117.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a0…9b88backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Yes | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…dcf4backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…9190backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…48e4backed No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 46c | 99.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b1…f012backed Yes | 53c | 93.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…c57bbacked Yes | 56c | 92.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 48c | 90.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Chelsea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.