Premier League · resolved market
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2dd8027eff2997683dd18d630d87364e36c0b8620a8c22cf6e31a6a8a562a25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 15,560$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.59 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 34c | 11,203$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.24 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 64c | 10,868$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.1 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 72c | 9,859$7,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.77 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Under | 51c | 3,351$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.97 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 38c | 2,453$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.59 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 68c | 2,020$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 74c | 1,584$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.89 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fe…ab9abacked Over | 74c | 1,233$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 70c | 1,214$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.13 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 805.67$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.17 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 4c | 660.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Over | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Over | 47c | 537.78$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…8cc8backed Over | 68c | 513.63$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Over | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Over | 68c | 498.14$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…93c6backed Under | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 71c | 433.8$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 421.19$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.04 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 30c | 410.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.17 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 26c | 395.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 73c | 374.52$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4317…bd21backed Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed Over | 74c | 337.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 73c | 333.73$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.11 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 28c | 310.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 47c | 310$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 46c | 295.64$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…fc20backed Over | 54c | 292.81$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Over | 70c | 260.03$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…e66abacked Over | 74c | 249.23$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 235$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…d8d5backed Over | 74c | 207.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84d…01e2backed Over | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…e22bbacked Over | 52c | 197$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over | 47c | 195.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0843…97f5backed Over | 73c | 185.57$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 72c | 170.03$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 66c | 153.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 29c | 151.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Over | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Over | 47c | 140.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 73c | 133.59$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 34c | 133.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 55c | 129.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5794backed Over | 73c | 127.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 72c | 110.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4320backed Over | 72c | 97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…f12bbacked Over | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 60c | 94.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…4010backed Over | 72c | 90.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Over | 74c | 90.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…a4d3backed Over | 73c | 89.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…422bbacked Over | 60c | 89.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 32c | 85.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Over | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 71c | 60.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Over | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 73c | 57.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 72c | 54.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…24fcbacked Over | 74c | 50.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…b283backed Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Over | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dd…9889backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…479abacked Over | 73c | 37.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…ded9backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…bf99backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 72c | 31.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd485…2b7cbacked Over | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259e…765dbacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Over | 51c | 23.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Over | 48c | 21.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -9.1wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…1c8dbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…a46bbacked Over | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5this page
- Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Chelsea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.