TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e3b…5a53

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarrobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Mary Stoianabacked Mary Stoiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Petra Marcinko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$60.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Noemi Basiletti vs Daria Snigurbacked Noemi Basiletti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$210.75
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.25
Sinner vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$71.34
Fils vs. Buse: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$85.69
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$85.76
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.9
Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$62.25
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$19
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.44
All 16 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$56.48
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.16
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Kashiwa Reysol vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$271.09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$87.62
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.84
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.43
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$178.29
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.49
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$121.25
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.33
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Coventry City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$72.62
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.98
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$83.37
Fulham vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$112.17
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+40.8%+$125.8
West Ham vs. Liverpool: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200.2
Nottingham Forest vs. Brighton: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+82%+$143.54
Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$164.06
Everton vs. Newcastle: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Newcastle vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+64%+$419.81
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$166.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Villarreal CF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$68.42
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$52.36
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$104
Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$334
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+81.4%+$153.46
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$73.52
Galatasaray SK vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$115
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.58
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.03
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$354.27
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$155.56
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$360.17
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.89
Greece vs. Italy: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$817Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$217.29
Qatar vs. El Salvador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$706.63
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$222.81
Armenia vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$218.21
Will Iceland win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.31
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.64
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$130.99
Valencia CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Girona vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Sevilla vs. Real Betis: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$112.5
Real Sociedad vs. Villarreal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$139.11
Mallorca vs. Osasuna: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+48.9%+$119.32
Getafe vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$421
Getafe vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Villarreal vs. Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$144.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$298.44
VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.27
Hamburger SV vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$64.39
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.9
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$91.78
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.63
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$90.2
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+25%+$77.75
Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+30.9%+$111
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$512
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$420
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$497.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$280
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.