Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdf8478f78d196048d900ca551305cc366050fe4e3f69de21d95e5fd333303e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 30c | 3,000$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.99 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 2,817$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 68c | 599.93$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.98 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 7c | 450.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 32c | 301.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 26c | 299.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 75c | 264$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 32c | 213$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 123.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 70c | 121$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 32c | 79.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 74c | 60.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…2e5bbacked Under | 68c | 39.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 70c | 34.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 72c | 21.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Under | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.