Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4a500a7dcfdc8ade731a9f78133cdbd6562b6ff1dcd6cfb0fa3f0821b8f1dbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Under | 59c | 1,525$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,307$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.58 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.35 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…11d5backed Under | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 45c | 820$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 33c | 805.27$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.13 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Under | 65c | 674.46$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 664.3$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.76 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Over | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 37c | 561.35$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 547.28$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.18 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Over | 20c | 445$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 41c | 415.36$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.36 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 77c | 369.1$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ee…78ffbacked Under | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Over | 79c | 252.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 241.65$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 33c | 183.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 162.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 29c | 157.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 63c | 152.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 59c | 112.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 64c | 93.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 20c | 85.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 43c | 81.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…1512backed Over | 36c | 79.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 42c | 71.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 69.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 22c | 59.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 19c | 54.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 40c | 41.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 74c | 40.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…f0dcbacked Over | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 79c | 26.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 26.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…93ddbacked Under | 72c | 22.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…5e20backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 78c | 13.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.