Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c7b7ad0e0d1a15bc268f16a0a3f8d52a5d8d449d2a83477060390b60d5955d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 7,112$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.52 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Under | 48c | 4,787$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 48c | 3,750$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 2,646$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.27 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 47c | 2,282$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 2,223$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.93 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.3 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 47c | 1,173$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Over | 53c | 981.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 486.07$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.45 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 53c | 378.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 53c | 368.58$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 52c | 308.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 308.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 52c | 287.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 11c | 275.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 183.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 183.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 53c | 171$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 145$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 16c | 139.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 139.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 138.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 55c | 108.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Over | 50c | 91.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 46c | 91.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 23c | 87.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 54c | 66.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 53c | 54.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 47c | 50.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed Under | 47c | 42.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 41.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 50c | 39.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…37b0backed Over | 51c | 35.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Under | 46c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 22.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Chengdu Rongcheng FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.