Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53aaeb859086c3f0db80352c143a03e5fc1154ff1e19ef14dbe7d7a37710bd88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 41c | 60,000$24,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,600 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Over | 59c | 59,863$35,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,543.95 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 49c | 14,449$7,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,336.33 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 10,206$5,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,274.54 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 39c | 8,595$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.98 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 44c | 8,171$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.21 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 60c | 3,623$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.73 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 51c | 2,100$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.89 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d17…bc4cbacked Over | 61c | 2,065$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 1,885$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.26 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over | 61c | 1,732$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 61c | 1,075$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.81 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…55b0backed Over | 61c | 1,016$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 42c | 860.11$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.81 | 102 | 29.4%30 W · 72 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 66c | 850$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over | 60c | 670.33$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 42c | 635.41$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.55 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 30c | 518.13$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.69 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 60c | 505$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…8e45backed Over | 80c | 468.97$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 464.49$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Over | 60c | 446.23$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Over | 60c | 313.93$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…8b8bbacked Over | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 42c | 267.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…3086backed Over | 58c | 219.74$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Over | 58c | 219.72$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 61c | 186.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…ba0dbacked Over | 56c | 176.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…2151backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…06bcbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 78c | 128.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Over | 61c | 124.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…e83bbacked Under | 55c | 124.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Under | 59c | 122.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…34b1backed Over | 58c | 108.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 57c | 105.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…8a7ebacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ab11backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23a…b47dbacked Under | 53c | 91.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Over | 58c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 58c | 75.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Over | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…9a85backed Under | 73c | 68.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…37b4backed Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 51c | 60.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 22c | 59.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 58c | 51.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…dcf4backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…8b6abacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 53c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…3618backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…0cd1backed Over | 61c | 42.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Over | 32c | 41.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…a73abacked Under | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…a812backed Under | 40c | 35.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Under | 42c | 28.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…468fbacked Over | 58c | 26.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…142abacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855b…8dd0backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Under | 55c | 25.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f6e4backed Over | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…b890backed Over | 57c | 18.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5this page
- Newcastle vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)Newcastle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.