TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under41c60,000$24,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,60010962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Over59c59,863$35,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,543.9515344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over49c14,449$7,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,336.3311029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c10,206$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.546,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under39c8,595$3,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,351.9821853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under44c8,171$3,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,595.2127750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over60c3,623$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.731,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over51c2,100$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.894158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d17…bc4cbacked Over61c2,065$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,885$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.262,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fb5…cdb0backed Over61c1,732$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.56875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over61c1,075$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.811275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08dd…55b0backed Over61c1,016$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over42c860.11$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.8110229.4%30 W · 72 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under66c850$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56130050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over60c670.33$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.22661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under42c635.41$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5537036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over30c518.13$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.698243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd8d…a108backed Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Over60c505$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.252759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19534428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7b8…8e45backed Over80c468.97$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under42c464.49$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.851,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86f0…be32backed Over60c446.23$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.493669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8710343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over60c313.93$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.931963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c72…8b8bbacked Over52c299.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441060%6 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+58%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under42c267.38$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.915263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfac0…3086backed Over58c219.74$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf051…a54cbacked Over58c219.72$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over61c186.56$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.769958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77ed…ba0dbacked Over56c176.96$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-50.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82e3…2151backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412556%14 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.417642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd020…06bcbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under78c128.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over61c125$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7539561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0523…c48dbacked Over61c124.18$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.43520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef8f…e83bbacked Under55c124.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c4…b832backed Under59c122.95$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.541838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x726e…34b1backed Over58c108.72$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over57c105.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4149544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over61c101.64$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6410031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x936b…c603backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8393…253cbacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4537342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Under39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb54…8a7ebacked Under73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4211448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…ab11backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Under42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa23a…b47dbacked Under53c91.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7255254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Over58c85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.73253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Over31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.653265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over58c75.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.96269.4%43 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over51c74.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.511275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Over60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.23167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c0…9a85backed Under73c68.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc546…37b4backed Under40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under51c60.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8725949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.820239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over22c59.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.097737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.723542.9%15 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over58c51.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.435543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ea…dcf4backed Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f21…8b6abacked Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over53c49.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3917849.4%88 W · 90 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205b…3618backed Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0f…0cd1backed Over61c42.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4522…ff26backed Over32c41.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.971233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9817759.9%106 W · 71 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55be…a73abacked Under40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Over61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.63360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7961…a812backed Under40c35.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x450e…c1dfbacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.486361.9%39 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4824844.4%110 W · 138 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4810552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3314045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.793060%18 W · 12 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Under42c28.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.013221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-53.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Under72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206955.1%38 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e92…468fbacked Over58c26.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8615866.5%105 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb7…142abacked Over58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.862166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x855b…8dd0backed Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.422441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed Under55c25.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.845550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa384…f6e4backed Over61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.754358.1%25 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.86040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdfb…b890backed Over57c18.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.881764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.