TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x936b…c603

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$54.48
Galatasaray SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$214.01
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14.85
Will Alanyaspor win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+158.7%+$344.97
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$38.95
Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-1.5)backed Sparta Rotterdam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.11
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+233.3%+$70
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$28.38
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+48.9%+$190.07
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.87
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$241.17
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$37.7
All 19 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+76.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.11
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$34.7
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35.4
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+69.7%+$13.93
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72.68
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$22
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.4
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+300%+$30
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+334.8%+$38.5
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+400%+$44
SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
SV Werder Bremen vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+178.8%+$46.5
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+143.1%+$57.22
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12
RB Leipzig vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.77
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FaZe (BO1)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Astralis (BO1)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Imperial (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+37%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs 3DMAX (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$19.2
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FaZe (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs fnatic (BO1)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+132.6%+$25.19
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+149.9%+$17.99
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs RED Canids (BO1)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Rare Atom (BO1)backed Rare Atom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Lynn Vision (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+40.8%+$10.66
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Fluxo (BO1)backed Fluxo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+257.1%+$72
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Aurora win the PGL Astana Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.04
Will Vitality win the BLAST Open Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1625%4 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$18.71
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$44
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$69.36
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$52.18
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+32%+$32.14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$20.94
Will Barcelona vs. Inter end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$12
Will Bayern Munich beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Bayer Leverkusen beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$6.51
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$184.02
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+233.3%+$56.84
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+170.3%+$98.25
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$82.72
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$84.3
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+53.8%+$40.42
Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.83
Arsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$103.87
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$90.75
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+809.1%+$89
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Newcastle vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$16.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$47.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.44
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$160.15
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$49.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.