TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes10c30,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes54c12,000$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,48017042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No46c6,991$3,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,775.1427750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No48c5,801$2,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.012,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked No44c4,999$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes57c4,912$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8003644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No46c4,318$1,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.7230851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No44c3,848$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.6510050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c3,662$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.714,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c3,024$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.926,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes56c2,237$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.781,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes57c2,005$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.061,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.999946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes1c1,600$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617744.1%78 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5d…7253backed Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703030%9 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes58c1,353$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.9823350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No52c1,269$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.171,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23df…c7a8backed Yes46c1,088$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4609646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No46c999.95$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9726651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes41c730.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011534.8%40 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes54c553.87$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.716636.4%24 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes48c552.85$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.521,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c499.72$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.852,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes56c475.98$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.551,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes57c429.82$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24513552.6%71 W · 64 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007632.9%25 W · 51 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Yes60c339.92$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No45c313.98$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8221965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Yes57c311.19$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.383938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1689254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509344.1%41 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No52c250$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6617955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x936b…c603backed Yes37c245.16$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.751030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes55c227.52$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12512935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2712748.8%62 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes57c219.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12519654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes48c201.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.621,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9432822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1128740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes26c181.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.093727%10 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.86355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6310…0d90backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007170.4%50 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes53c163.33$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.725343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.533124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No46c149.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7513844.9%62 W · 76 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4a7…613abacked Yes58c120.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.063243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207223.6%17 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca9…2a50backed Yes57c110.35$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608438.1%32 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e83…983dbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes55c108.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013346.6%62 W · 71 L-15.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5618052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4744036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4c…1362backed Yes56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d14…261dbacked Yes58c87.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.71942.1%8 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Yes46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358144.4%36 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes47c76.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.755945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Yes56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.620840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No71c62.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9542324.3%103 W · 320 L-36.4wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58d2…5cc1backed Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes18c55.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3138…b523backed Yes57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306538.5%25 W · 40 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd41…2337backed Yes57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303357.6%19 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes30c51.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.389152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207231.9%23 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes60c50.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0811540.9%47 W · 68 L-16.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4b33…8c31backed No45c50.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.541250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No51c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f32…9c3bbacked Yes45c49.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.261250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed No44c47.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.579443.6%41 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Yes55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513951.1%71 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.235661.2%218 W · 138 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c5d…0774backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d2…c6dabacked Yes28c37.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-66.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed Yes55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.