Champions League · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a10130f3e6c980e2a179b74f344da2bc0cb53f358899c6eb660b97c27668fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,799.99 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 39,576$18,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,335.93 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 31c | 18,662$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.31 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 53c | 18,545$9,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,843.22 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…a380backed Yes | 49c | 14,253$6,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,330.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 48c | 13,629$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,510.42 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 13,334$6,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,944.74 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 10,182$5,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.16 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 7,132$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,716.04 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 50c | 5,933$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.53 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…b54dbacked Yes | 49c | 5,347$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked Yes | 47c | 5,164$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 51c | 5,070$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,596.32 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 48c | 4,137$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.09 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 3,648$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.8 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 3,530$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.72 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…02d2backed Yes | 47c | 3,184$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 3,071$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.06 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 54c | 2,986$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…713cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,841$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb542…1424backed No | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 50c | 2,387$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.9 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 48c | 2,150$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.74 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 48c | 2,144$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.07 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…3d88backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…24a9backed Yes | 50c | 1,842$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.97 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 42c | 1,672$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 53c | 1,672$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.27 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.99 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 46c | 1,571$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.33 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 54c | 1,444$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 54c | 1,392$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.15 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 48c | 1,274$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.24 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 53c | 1,241$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.84 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 53c | 1,210$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.4 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 27c | 1,200$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 53c | 1,200$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.98 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…cd09backed Yes | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 27c | 1,099$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 50c | 1,080$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…b2fbbacked Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 50c | 1,063$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.5 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a47…3864backed Yes | 46c | 1,020$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…2539backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed No | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 71c | 983.07$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 52c | 972.67$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.08 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 25c | 950.11$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…4386backed No | 46c | 950$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 50c | 908.76$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.56 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…abc0backed No | 54c | 800$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…8505backed Yes | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked No | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f10…8ac6backed Yes | 74c | 736.08$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…b9c9backed Yes | 47c | 721.28$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 53c | 651.43$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…8859backed No | 54c | 650$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 51c | 642$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.42 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 36c | 634.72$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.47 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 42c | 618.64$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.27 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8445…832ebacked No | 53c | 584.91$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 48c | 582.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.16 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 34c | 566.27$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.56 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -9.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 47c | 552.04$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.58 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 80c | 550.11$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0a…09a6backed Yes | 46c | 544.04$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 52c | 531.17$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.74 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 51c | 512.15$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.47 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 48c | 499.67$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.83 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 51c | 492.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.23 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 73c | 465.07$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 47c | 455.32$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.32 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 72c | 431.35$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2006…cc76backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…a1ebbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 53c | 379.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…0f98backed No | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked No | 52c | 360$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 51c | 360$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…cc1bbacked Yes | 50c | 346.19$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 53c | 332.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.47 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 53c | 317.42$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…a23abacked Yes | 47c | 317.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?this page
- Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?No won
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.