Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-25?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x158cff4d582b2a7b1cde05df32ba384549c2dd5e020f105c7fa16fdfa58414e6

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $139,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $148,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,675 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1dbf…45c6backed Yes	0c	24,453$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes	27c	20,000$5,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,466.37	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No	73c	9,507$6,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,611.85	398	42.2%168 W · 230 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No	75c	7,399$5,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,849.75	82	41.5%34 W · 48 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes	6c	6,158$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.47	204	62.3%127 W · 77 L	+19.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes	25c	4,151$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.75	70	60%42 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed Yes	28c	4,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	75c	3,994$2,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.71	1,511	40.2%608 W · 903 L	-6.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e2…1f0ebacked Yes	27c	2,600$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	35cpaid	+71.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	77c	2,231$1,711 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.69	149	53%79 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes	3c	2,158$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.74	343	42.3%145 W · 198 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes	2c	1,750$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.05	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Yes	13c	1,552$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.75	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb84b…95b1backed Yes	10c	1,271$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.58	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No	72c	1,213$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.61	81	51.9%42 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes	1c	1,115$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	38	2.6%1 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Yes	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	5c	999.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	389	35.2%137 W · 252 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Yes	25c	999.98$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.99	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No	72c	879.58$634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.31	240	47.1%113 W · 127 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes	17c	800$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	46	37%17 W · 29 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b6…38fbbacked No	73c	727.4$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb0…4cd4backed Yes	27c	701$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5e…2d04backed No	72c	700$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes	22c	699.99$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Yes	25c	634.58$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.65	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	24c	577.44$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.71	380	43.9%167 W · 213 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No	74c	565.38$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.38	168	53.6%90 W · 78 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe176…9d7cbacked Yes	10c	555.56$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad34…4386backed No	76c	500$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+33%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	122	19.7%24 W · 98 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	23c	496.64$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.95	190	28.9%55 W · 135 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes	25c	488.51$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.97	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3c9…cbb6backed Yes	8c	441.21$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes	28c	435.75$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.01	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes	6c	433.83$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.03	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	25c	424.2$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.53	139	27.3%38 W · 101 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe976…8b73backed No	73c	423.38$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.31	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed No	78c	411.19$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.19	49	69.4%34 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Yes	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes	10c	382.9$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.29	107	17.8%19 W · 88 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes	27c	370.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked No	78c	358.97$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.97	61	70.5%43 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked No	72c	350$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes	26c	337.65$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.4	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked No	74c	335.97$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.35	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes	14c	303.78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6252…495dbacked Yes	28c	300$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes	25c	300$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No	75c	284.82$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.2	106	60.4%64 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f16…2d56backed No	75c	266.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	23c	250$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.5	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes	4c	250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Yes	28c	247.25$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.23	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-4.2wins	-0.28per pick	41cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	27c	238.89$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	79	24.1%19 W · 60 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes	28c	214.29$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	92	52.2%48 W · 44 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed Yes	9c	211.11$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-63%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked No	79c	203.68$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.68	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes	20c	202.34$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d3…4908backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.22per pick	42cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	27c	200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	90	34.4%31 W · 59 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f8…3f59backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0523…7eaabacked Yes	8c	199.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63fa…48ddbacked Yes	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5110…eee6backed Yes	19c	187.06$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes	22c	174.73$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.44	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No	77c	161.42$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.42	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	71cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Yes	25c	160.87$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…a03dbacked No	73c	150$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	65cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e75…e9efbacked Yes	27c	150$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed No	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f96…bfdabacked Yes	25c	136$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…3f15backed No	78c	129.74$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e20…d55dbacked Yes	25c	127.12$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b2…ea62backed Yes	9c	122.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	30cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes	25c	122.12$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.53	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-5.7wins	-0.28per pick	43cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Yes	28c	103.57$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	+5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	26c	100.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.75	129	38%49 W · 80 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc083…0376backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6a88…2854backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	50	34%17 W · 33 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7814…2080backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	31cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	21c	99.37$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	243	27.2%66 W · 177 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90c…0d37backed Yes	23c	97.73$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+81.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No	75c	93$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.25	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes	28c	92.86$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x338b…5827backed Yes	26c	88.69$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab34…a18abacked Yes	27c	86.33$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…eea5backed Yes	18c	85.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.15per pick	19cpaid	+233.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes	26c	84$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.84	213	54%115 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97be…c5e8backed Yes	25c	80.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25e1…1046backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	+93.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-25?this page
Will AFC Ajax vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?No won
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-25?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event