TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe90c…0d37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.6
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+27.2%+$58.98
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$335.2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+558.3%+$591.15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,329.98
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$280
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+64.4%+$195.85
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+61%+$319.22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$21.08
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$350.03
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+525%+$420
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$425
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+185.7%+$649.96
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+733.3%+$88
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$156
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,558.5
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$250
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$123.2
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Australia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$113.1
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.2
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Exact Score: Iraq 1 - 3 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+81.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+76.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+107.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+92.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$452.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.