Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae016dbc059556c6c5264df3c523f87154ec41e9de33d6efef586478d8d05778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 3,108$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.4 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 3,088$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.87 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 54c | 1,394$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.96 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 1,345$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.55 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 73c | 1,283$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked No | 28c | 1,074$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 899.81$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.56 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 60c | 748.42$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.6 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 33c | 664.8$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.48 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 577.05$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.89 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 68c | 505.52$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.51 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 67c | 401.49$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 27c | 248.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 28c | 248.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65fd…5dd3backed Yes | 62c | 228.28$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 68c | 220.61$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes | 52c | 190.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 26c | 164.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90c…0d37backed Yes | 71c | 146.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 74c | 138$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 26c | 129$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 36c | 100.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Yes | 56c | 88.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked No | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5524backed No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 27c | 77.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Yes | 33c | 70.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Yes | 35c | 62.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Yes | 26c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed No | 74c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed No | 74c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 74c | 39.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed No | 74c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked No | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.