TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65fd…5dd3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST7062.9%44 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$145.79
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.8%+$82.3
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$49.03
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$46.08
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+67.7%+$40.62
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+30%+$33.05
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$80.98
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+40.8%+$32.68
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+45.1%+$10.59
Celtics vs. Wizardsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+26%+$72.85
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+55.3%+$35.96
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$28.59
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+43.2%+$77.81
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$30.91
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$23.33
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Hoosiers vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$80
San Francisco Dons vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Northwestern State Demons vs. California Golden Bearsbacked Northwestern State Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$44.26
Hofstra Pride vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+83.7%+$50.2
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Austin Peay Governorsbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. North Carolina A&T Aggiesbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Army Black Knights vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Villanova Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
Buffalo Bulls vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+27.7%+$12.47
Grambling State Tigers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+41.5%+$8.31
CSUN Matadors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+303.7%+$45.56
TCU Horned Frogs vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Baylor Bears vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Samford Bulldogs vs. VCU Ramsbacked Samford Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchosbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$54.24
USC Trojans vs. Oregon Ducksbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Missouri Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+38.7%+$34.01
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$17.92
All 20 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+60.7%+$98.65
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+177.8%+$31.73
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+46.1%+$35.49
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$8.86
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28.9
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+58.7%+$13.89
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+44.2%+$24.34
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+41.5%+$17.84
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+66.7%+$16.2
Rams vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$10.3
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+32%+$60.85
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$14.78
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42%+$88.2
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$280
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 3)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+33.5%+$60.29
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$34.29
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 2)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$35
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+38.9%+$42.47
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$34.79
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$101.54
Boise State vs. Washingtonbacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Army vs. Navybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+50.8%+$214.05
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
Athletics vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.61
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$28.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$198.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.