NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbac06c2bb45b33711c11eb96d90b5bb7eb026f788b8b5c7be4690416bc5911d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,982,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,169,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,982,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 828 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 24c | 222,090$54,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167,762.94 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 178,016$137,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137,605.52 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked Warriors | 24c | 150,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers | 57c | 97,364$55,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,286.87 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cavaliers | 28c | 90,000$25,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,158.17 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 25c | 80,508$20,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,240.2 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Cavaliers | 74c | 43,358$31,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,929.09 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Cavaliers | 73c | 38,533$28,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,129.1 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Cavaliers | 76c | 37,070$28,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,214.34 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 32,035$12,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,649.49 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 53c | 28,036$14,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,140.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Warriors | 47c | 28,032$13,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,925.23 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 27,951$14,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,299.53 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Cavaliers | 52c | 26,666$13,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,899.63 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 24,970$18,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,372.05 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 22c | 24,254$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,354.87 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 24c | 23,661$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,060.59 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 43c | 21,453$9,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,129.31 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Cavaliers | 51c | 21,377$10,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,866.45 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 20,000$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,199.98 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Warriors | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,399.84 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 55c | 19,045$10,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,485.84 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Cavaliers | 77c | 15,363$11,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,829.66 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…8218backed Warriors | 56c | 15,276$8,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,652.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Warriors | 27c | 15,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,950 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Cavaliers | 76c | 14,987$11,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,389.87 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Warriors | 80c | 14,984$11,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.16 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Cavaliers | 56c | 14,456$8,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,145.72 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 51c | 13,827$7,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,028.44 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Cavaliers | 76c | 13,162$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…52f4backed Warriors | 23c | 12,967$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,984.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Warriors | 24c | 10,506$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,997.03 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 24c | 10,445$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,920.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 74c | 10,272$7,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.71 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Cavaliers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…87d4backed Cavaliers | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Warriors | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,299.98 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Cavaliers | 72c | 8,792$6,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,360.45 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cavaliers | 77c | 8,589$6,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,609.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 69c | 8,112$5,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,618.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 8,050$6,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,118 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Cavaliers | 67c | 7,727$5,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,188.12 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 40c | 7,347$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.95 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Warriors | 56c | 7,147$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.71 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Warriors | 26c | 6,928$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,146.27 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…a42abacked Cavaliers | 76c | 6,195$4,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.57 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 6,193$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d7…11debacked Cavaliers | 76c | 6,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Warriors | 64c | 5,653$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.2 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Cavaliers | 66c | 5,628$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.81 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cavaliers | 54c | 5,554$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Warriors | 27c | 5,498$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.5 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Warriors | 79c | 5,438$4,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.52 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 28c | 5,048$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,634.65 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Cavaliers | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…b55bbacked Cavaliers | 0c | 4,856$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 198 | 61.6%122 W · 76 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Cavaliers | 71c | 4,525$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,191.05 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cavaliers | 45c | 4,466$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cavaliers | 76c | 4,385$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.53 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors | 37c | 4,318$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cavaliers | 68c | 4,299$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.97 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Warriors | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.97 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…3327backed Cavaliers | 54c | 3,700$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 24c | 3,672$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cavaliers | 35c | 3,602$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.2 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Warriors | 54c | 3,599$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.47 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Cavaliers | 72c | 3,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.96 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…8352backed Warriors | 60c | 3,476$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Warriors | 46c | 3,438$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.5 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Cavaliers | 77c | 3,300$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 63c | 3,172$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.75 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Warriors | 25c | 3,132$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.52 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd70…3ebbbacked Cavaliers | 73c | 3,061$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 73c | 3,000$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.67 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…2e89backed Cavaliers | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…8a09backed Warriors | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Warriors | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.98 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Cavaliers | 73c | 3,000$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.98 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Warriors | 54c | 2,946$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.66 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Warriors | 26c | 2,900$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.41 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…ec12backed Warriors | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Cavaliers | 23c | 2,519$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Warriors | 46c | 2,518$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0557backed Cavaliers | 64c | 2,495$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Cavaliers | 40c | 2,459$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.17 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 39c | 2,393$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.81 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…9905backed Cavaliers | 42c | 2,218$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…5436backed Warriors | 24c | 2,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Warriors | 26c | 2,190$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.97 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Warriors | 27c | 2,148$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.15 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Cavaliers | 48c | 2,097$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…91eabacked Cavaliers | 45c | 2,086$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Cavaliers | 37c | 2,081$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Warriors | 27c | 2,045$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.92 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…2943backed Cavaliers | 40c | 2,027$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Warriors | 24c | 2,000$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.25 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Warriors | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 346 | 45.7%158 W · 188 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Cavaliers | 4c | 1,939$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Cavaliersthis page
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.