TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d23…b55b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
355
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST19861.6%122 W · 76 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 198 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+91.1%+$50.12
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+34.2%+$12.96
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.7%+$66.82
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25.5%+$7.88
Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.8%+$58.26
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+45.7%+$165.95
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+59.2%+$38.51
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.74
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+46.8%+$95.67
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+54.8%+$86.44
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$248.45
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+34.8%+$46.95
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$81.21
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+57.9%+$141.93
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+57.2%+$98.25
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Lakers (-7.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+30.3%+$6.37
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+52.8%+$27.99
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Showing 25 of 198 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST5964.4%38 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+164.9%+$62.67
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+123.4%+$18.14
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.5%+$29.35
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+40.4%+$154.23
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+76.5%+$79.25
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$47.88
Saints vs. Titansbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.73
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$9
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$5.57
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+122.8%+$31.83
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+59.8%+$59.8
Vikings vs. Cowboysbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.17
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+105.4%+$147.58
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+66.5%+$23.95
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$160.58
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST4362.8%27 W · 16 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,226Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+46%+$563.61
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$794.54
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49%+$349.89
LSU vs. Houstonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$202.9
Virginia vs. Missouribacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+109.3%+$31.7
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.4%+$112.83
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Boise State win the 2025 Mountain West Conference Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+44.7%+$17.89
Wyoming vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+30.1%+$18.05
Fresno State vs. San Jose Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.18
UNLV vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.5%+$10.6
SMU Mustangs vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+41.8%+$69.36
Cincinnati vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+32.4%+$90.72
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.1%+$35.56
Washington vs. UCLAbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Arizona State vs. Coloradobacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+32.9%+$27.67
BYU vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 34-35°F on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on January 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+26.9%+$10.76
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on January 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on January 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25.6%+$8.96
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+77.9%+$11.68
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+135.3%+$27.06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+87.4%+$52.45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on January 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+68.4%+$41.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or higher on January 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+33.1%+$7.94
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on January 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+237.4%+$94.96
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.42
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 78°F or higher on January 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on January 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+61%+$69.3
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$65.98
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+63.2%+$34.74
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+147%+$29.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+118.4%+$30.41
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$180
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+93%+$65.28
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
LoL: Vietnam vs Cloud9 (BO1)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$14.79
LoL: Gen.G vs Vietnam (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Cloud9 (BO1)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Cloud9 vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+73.4%+$70.98
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+50.7%+$44.92
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+90.6%+$100.26
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+49.8%+$6.3
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+53.5%+$151.64
Washington Huskies vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$6.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$19.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+32%+$30.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.