College Football · resolved market
Ohio State vs. Michigan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf79803e089556e98118d94423e1a254b7d6ad6516f7116b103ad7eadc520d60e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof Ohio State, Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,631,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,868,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,631,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Ohio State | 78c | 394,500$307,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,790 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Michigan | 21c | 285,500$58,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,904.95 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Michigan | 22c | 215,687$47,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,434.69 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Ohio State | 79c | 126,124$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,123.66 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Michigan | 19c | 84,590$16,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,382.18 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d241backed Michigan | 11c | 50,661$5,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,566.12 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…1328backed Ohio State | 78c | 50,000$38,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,005.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Michigan | 21c | 50,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Ohio State | 78c | 40,000$31,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan | 23c | 38,265$8,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,661.16 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Michigan | 22c | 37,297$8,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,205.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Michigan | 22c | 33,304$7,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,326.84 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Ohio State | 78c | 29,994$23,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,620.83 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Michigan | 22c | 25,077$5,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,576.06 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Ohio State | 77c | 23,435$18,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390.06 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Ohio State | 78c | 22,289$17,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.58 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Michigan | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Ohio State | 77c | 19,391$14,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.02 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb78…5206backed Michigan | 26c | 19,335$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michigan | 20c | 16,727$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.34 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Michigan | 7c | 12,123$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.37 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Ohio State | 79c | 8,595$6,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Ohio State | 77c | 7,500$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.99 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Ohio State | 78c | 5,905$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.04 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio State | 77c | 5,732$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.19 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…e45dbacked Michigan | 11c | 5,475$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Ohio State | 75c | 5,471$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.59 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Michigan | 24c | 5,246$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Ohio State | 77c | 5,166$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Ohio State | 78c | 5,022$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Ohio State | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…7f7cbacked Ohio State | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…d461backed Michigan | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ohio State | 76c | 4,924$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.13 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Michigan | 5c | 4,623$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.53 | 218 | 38.5%84 W · 134 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Ohio State | 68c | 4,116$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Michigan | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Ohio State | 77c | 3,695$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.59 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Michigan | 7c | 3,462$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Michigan | 20c | 3,370$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.6 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Ohio State | 78c | 3,291$2,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Michigan | 20c | 3,134$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.75 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Ohio State | 75c | 3,100$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Michigan | 20c | 2,750$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…ec7abacked Michigan | 9c | 2,572$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Michigan | 20c | 2,570$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.07 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Michigan | 30c | 2,455$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.93 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Michigan | 21c | 2,325$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…3defbacked Michigan | 26c | 2,260$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Michigan | 22c | 2,223$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ohio State | 80c | 2,159$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.48 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Ohio State | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Ohio State | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Ohio State | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Michigan | 3c | 1,977$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…565dbacked Michigan | 25c | 1,962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…6904backed Michigan | 23c | 1,827$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Michigan | 23c | 1,800$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.74 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Ohio State | 77c | 1,798$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…7269backed Ohio State | 78c | 1,770$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Michigan | 25c | 1,758$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.95 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed Ohio State | 78c | 1,700$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…9cf5backed Michigan | 24c | 1,680$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…023abacked Michigan | 22c | 1,668$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…0c60backed Ohio State | 79c | 1,665$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503f…1137backed Ohio State | 78c | 1,538$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Ohio State | 79c | 1,502$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.87 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Michigan | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Ohio State | 73c | 1,500$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.37 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Ohio State | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Michigan | 23c | 1,448$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…f3c7backed Michigan | 23c | 1,435$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Michigan | 7c | 1,428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Michigan | 21c | 1,415$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.45 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Ohio State | 78c | 1,410$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.26 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Michigan | 11c | 1,363$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Michigan | 22c | 1,303$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked Ohio State | 78c | 1,284$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…5a1abacked Ohio State | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Michigan | 22c | 1,280$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.54 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Ohio State | 73c | 1,241$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0830…a3f0backed Michigan | 25c | 1,233$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Michigan | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ohio State | 77c | 1,197$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.31 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a38…cd0dbacked Ohio State | 78c | 1,154$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Michigan | 23c | 1,144$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.18 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3c…da33backed Michigan | 25c | 1,085$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Michigan | 27c | 1,081$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…98a3backed Michigan | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…4b8dbacked Michigan | 27c | 1,027$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Michigan | 16c | 1,020$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.34 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…2d77backed Michigan | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Michigan | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x719e…f7ccbacked Michigan | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebf…a9d3backed Michigan | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Michigan | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…ee91backed Ohio State | 78c | 961.54$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…c0d6backed Michigan | 32c | 936.05$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a94…2bc4backed Michigan | 20c | 934.19$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Ohio State | 77c | 905.15$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.15 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ohio State vs. Michiganthis page
- O/U 44.5Under won
- Ohio State vs. Michigan: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)Ohio State won
- Spread: Ohio State (-11.5)Ohio State won
- Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)Ohio State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.