College Football · resolved market
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97c5a473d2babfae487654c31b863d318051f680449df3a1f9add0c48683d4c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof Ohio State, Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ohio State | 52c | 53,963$27,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,038.85 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Michigan | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,399.99 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Michigan | 49c | 27,360$13,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,486.2 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Ohio State | 53c | 20,810$10,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,849.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michigan | 48c | 12,031$5,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,742.17 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Michigan | 50c | 10,437$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.32 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…efebbacked Ohio State | 52c | 10,000$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,760 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Ohio State | 52c | 9,729$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,628.86 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michigan | 47c | 8,104$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.52 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Michigan | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.98 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Michigan | 48c | 5,586$2,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695.5 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Ohio State | 52c | 5,192$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.31 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Ohio State | 40c | 4,979$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.74 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Michigan | 70c | 3,178$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.3 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Michigan | 50c | 3,002$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Ohio State | 49c | 2,689$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.46 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Michigan | 48c | 2,594$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.95 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Ohio State | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Michigan | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Ohio State | 51c | 1,561$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Michigan | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Ohio State | 52c | 1,450$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Ohio State | 52c | 1,450$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.99 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Ohio State | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Michigan | 52c | 968.43$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Michigan | 47c | 962.11$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.34 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Ohio State | 54c | 930.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.86 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Michigan | 48c | 713.59$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.11 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Ohio State | 52c | 638.09$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.05 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Michigan | 59c | 622.95$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.33 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed78…f62bbacked Ohio State | 53c | 603.77$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Michigan | 48c | 598.62$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.34 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Ohio State | 53c | 573.49$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Michigan | 47c | 532.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Michigan | 61c | 525$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.25 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ohio State | 46c | 522.96$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.37 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Ohio State | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Michigan | 48c | 482.49$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.46 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michigan | 47c | 439.48$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Michigan | 47c | 429.89$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Ohio State | 52c | 395$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Michigan | 50c | 368$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ohio State | 51c | 346.94$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.94 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Michigan | 46c | 339$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…917abacked Michigan | 49c | 313.66$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Michigan | 47c | 313.52$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Ohio State | 52c | 294.23$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Michigan | 46c | 280.85$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcec…5d1cbacked Ohio State | 48c | 234.49$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Michigan | 49c | 230.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.18 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…0d11backed Michigan | 50c | 226$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…f7e0backed Ohio State | 39c | 222.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Ohio State | 51c | 222$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…187dbacked Ohio State | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Ohio State | 50c | 201.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…007bbacked Ohio State | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Ohio State | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Ohio State | 55c | 199.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Ohio State | 52c | 173.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Ohio State | 52c | 148.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Michigan | 44c | 135.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Michigan | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Michigan | 44c | 122$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Michigan | 47c | 122$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…6939backed Ohio State | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…e59abacked Ohio State | 52c | 115.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…74a9backed Ohio State | 53c | 107.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Michigan | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…bc79backed Ohio State | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…27d8backed Michigan | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Ohio State | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Ohio State | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…5a1abacked Ohio State | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Ohio State | 51c | 87.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Ohio State | 51c | 87.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Michigan | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Michigan | 48c | 74.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…5ed7backed Ohio State | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…92ecbacked Michigan | 50c | 67.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Ohio State | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d3…ada0backed Ohio State | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7f61backed Michigan | 48c | 43.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Michigan | 49c | 40.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Michigan | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -6.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…ea9dbacked Ohio State | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…4e72backed Ohio State | 52c | 37.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaef…1b1abacked Michigan | 50c | 26.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Michigan | 48c | 25.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Michigan | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a2…0ff7backed Ohio State | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Michigan | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…3428backed Ohio State | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Michigan | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…300fbacked Michigan | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Michigan | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)this page
- O/U 44.5Under won
- Ohio State vs. MichiganOhio State won
- Ohio State vs. Michigan: O/U 43.5Under won
- Spread: Ohio State (-10.5)Ohio State won
- Spread: Ohio State (-11.5)Ohio State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.